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What Does An Interest Rate Actually Cost?
The Weekly Recap
Mortgage rates dropped week over week for the first time since March, September is the new target date for when investors believe that the Fed will drop rates, 70% of renters believe obtaining a mortgage is either somewhat or very difficult to obtain while rental prices continue to rise faster than wages. OpenAI is getting ready to launch a search engine competitor to Google, Berkshire Hathaway revealed at their annual shareholders meeting that they are sitting on $189 billion in cash and NYC has the most millionaires in the world.
What Does an Interest Rate Actually Cost?
As inflation reports have come in hotter than expected over the past few months, we keep seeing reports about “rates being higher for longer”. When we hear that rates are rising, (or not being cut) we immediately go to the notion that things are becoming more expensive and less attainable. Increases in rates may not be as harsh as you would think and is fractional compared to missing out on entering the market or expanding your real estate portfolio. So what does an interest rate actually cost?
For every $100,000 you borrow on a mortgage, depending on your rate, the above chart lays out what you will pay. If you borrowed $500,000 at 7%, your mortgage payment would be ($665 x 5) $3,325 per month. If you borrowed the same money but at 5% your mortgage payment would be ($537 x 5) $2,685 per month. That's only a $640 difference a month and $7,680 a year. The asset you purchase will appreciate more in your first year than you would have saved in a lower rate by waiting.
In high rate environments, prices are lower. And when rates do drop, they will only drop by a quarter to a half point at a time. Saving $30,000-$50,000 off an asking price is more advantageous than saving $7,680 a year in a lower rate. Also, when rates do drop, you are going to see a large influx of buyers start to make their way off the sidelines and create more competition for the low inventory that exists on the market. When demand outpaces supply prices go up.
You are better off buying in a higher rate environment with lower pricing, than a lower rate environment with higher pricing.
Market Performance
Here are how some other indexes and asset classes have performed as of this mornings opening bell.
Source: ExecSum
NYC Market Update
Here is a view of new inventory that has come onto the NYC market over the past week as well as newly signed contracts in Manhattan.
Source: UrbanDigs
Mortgage Rate Update
Mortgage rates decreased following a weaker then expected jobs report. Rates hovering around seven percent impact both buyers and sellers which is evident through low inventory levels as well as some buyers continuing to wait on the sideline for steeper decreases in rates.
Source: FreddieMac
News You Can Use
US Jobs Post Smallest Gain in Six Months Bloomberg
Rents Set to Be the Last Domino to Fall in Global Inflation Battle Bloomberg
OpenAI Plans to Announce Google Search Competitor on Monday Reuters
Rents In These US Cities Are Rising Faster Than Wages- With NYC Hit the Worst NY Post
US Banks Report Weaker Loan Demand Reuters
Renters Are Pessimistic About Securing Mortgages Bloomberg
Fitch Downgrades NYCB to ‘BB’ On Near-Term Earnings Pressure Reuters
US Job Growth Totaled 175,000 in April, Much Less Than Expected CNBC
Lenders Are Seeing a Bottom for Consumers Wall Street Journal
Blackstone’s Gray Sees Growth Slowing in Inflation Fight Bloomberg
FTX Says Most Customers of the Bankrupt Crypto Exchange Will Get All Their Money Back CNBC
Stock Buybacks Hit Highest Level Since 2018 Yahoo Finance
One Out of Every 24 New York City Residents Is Now a Millionaire Bloomberg
The Deep Insight
Change
“To improve is to change; to be perfect is to change often.”
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Paul Cibrano | VP, Managing Director
Licensed Associate Broker
REBNY Membership Committee Member
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